{"id":1080,"date":"2009-09-26T08:03:00","date_gmt":"2009-09-26T12:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/09\/26\/week-five-to-owens-by-default\/"},"modified":"2009-09-26T08:03:00","modified_gmt":"2009-09-26T12:03:00","slug":"week-five-to-owens-by-default","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/09\/26\/week-five-to-owens-by-default\/","title":{"rendered":"Week five to Owens by default"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A fairly bland week out on the campaign trail.  The three campaigns all launched TV spots, with a fairly normal mix of good, bad and ugly. <\/p>\n<p>Republican Dede Scozzafava&#8217;s campaign put in a solid, ground-game-building sort of week.  But her decent showing was set back by two factors.<\/p>\n<p>The first was a TV and radio spot aired in the district by the National Republican Congressional Committee. <\/p>\n<p>The general take on the ad?  Negative, snarky and, well, sort of corny.  View the anti-Owens ad <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=gUgjJAuLeDs\">here<\/a>.  And here&#8217;s a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.watertowndailytimes.com\/article\/20090922\/BLOGS09\/909229988\">review<\/a> from Jude Seymour at the Watertown Daily Times. <\/p>\n<p>The other thing dragging on Scozzafava is the fact that Doug Hoffman seems to be <a href=\"http:\/\/doughoffmanforcongress.com\/press_club4growth.html\">hanging in there<\/a>, making a real race of it.<\/p>\n<p>Hoffman is also focusing all his firepower on the Republican, not the Democrat.  Here&#8217;s his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=xlIpWNFFwkQ\">TV ad<\/a>, comparing Scozzafava to fake elvis&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Conservative Doug Hoffman also logged a decent week, drawing support from the conservative Club for Growth and grabbing an endorsement from the Police Benevolent Association of the New York State Troopers.<\/p>\n<p>As mentioned, he&#8217;s also staying solidly in the race:  Every week he sticks around and looks viable, Hoffman gains a little more credibility.  That&#8217;s no small thing for a 3rd-party candidate.<\/p>\n<p>But the win goes to Democrat Bill Owens.  Here&#8217;s why:<\/p>\n<p>After a quiet start, Owens is doing what newly-minted politicians have to do.  That means logging a lot of miles, building name recognition and introducing himself in a positive way.<\/p>\n<p>His first big ad does <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=TlQtZSnmwbM\">that<\/a>, projecting a pro-military, pro-business image that should play well in the district.<\/p>\n<p>But his biggest advantage is something we&#8217;ve already touched on:  There&#8217;s a dog-fight going on between his two opponents, Scozzafava and Hoffman. <\/p>\n<p>Every week that Owens can plug away at wooing voters while the Republican and Conservative pummel each other (or, more accurately, that Hoffman pummels Scozzafava) the Democrats gain.<\/p>\n<p>One big question remains for Owens:  Can he bring home the liberal base of his own adopted party?   <\/p>\n<p>If he can unify Democrats, while Republicans and Conservatives split the center-right vote, we could see the GOP lose another Northeastern district&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A fairly bland week out on the campaign trail. The three campaigns all launched TV [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[874],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1080"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1080"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1080\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}