{"id":1139,"date":"2009-10-15T09:08:00","date_gmt":"2009-10-15T13:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/10\/15\/breaking-democrat-owens-takes-4-point-lead-over-scozzafava\/"},"modified":"2009-10-15T09:08:00","modified_gmt":"2009-10-15T13:08:00","slug":"breaking-democrat-owens-takes-4-point-lead-over-scozzafava","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/10\/15\/breaking-democrat-owens-takes-4-point-lead-over-scozzafava\/","title":{"rendered":"BREAKING: Democrat Owens takes 4-point lead over Scozzafava"},"content":{"rendered":"

A new poll issued this morning by the independent Siena Research Institute<\/a> shows Democratic newcomer Bill Owens taking a 4-point lead over Republican Dede Scozzafava.<\/p>\n

Owens surged to 33%, up from 28% two weeks ago. Scozzafava, meanwhile, sagged from 35% down to 29%.<\/p>\n

Also showing dramatic growth over the two week period is Conservative challenger Doug Hoffman, who grew form 16% to a whopping 23%.<\/p>\n

Here’s the takeaway from Siena’s Steve Greenberg:
<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

With just 10 points separating the three candidates, this is likely to be a very tight \u2013 and fiercely fought \u2013 campaign right through election day, now less than three weeks away.<\/span><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Here are a couple of details that I think could prove decisive in this race:<\/p>\n

1. Owens is bringing home Democrats, thanks perhaps in part to support from Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. He’s now winning 55% of the Dem vote — up from just 48% two weeks ago.<\/p>\n

2. Scozzafava is losing support among Democrats (down a dramatic 9%), Republicans (down 7%) and moderates (down 2%).<\/p>\n

3. Hoffman is gobbling up the independent vote, a category of voter that Scozzafava was hoping to seize. The Conservative is now the leading vote-getter among independents with 31% of those votes.<\/p>\n

4. Voters in this sruvey give Owens a clear lead when it comes to handling the economy as an issue — after trailing on that topic in the last survey.<\/p>\n

One final observation: I think the “spoiler” argument against Hoffman is losing some of its traction.<\/p>\n

With roughly three weeks to go, he’s within six points of Scozzafava and this now begins to look like a solid three-way race.<\/p>\n

Scozzafava will have to work hard in the next few days to stop this erosion.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new poll issued this morning by the independent Siena Research Institute shows Democratic newcomer […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[874],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1139"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1139\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}