{"id":1207,"date":"2009-10-29T13:44:00","date_gmt":"2009-10-29T17:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/10\/29\/dailykosresearch-2000-owens-leads-hoffman-surging-scozzafava-fades\/"},"modified":"2009-10-29T13:44:00","modified_gmt":"2009-10-29T17:44:00","slug":"dailykosresearch-2000-owens-leads-hoffman-surging-scozzafava-fades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/10\/29\/dailykosresearch-2000-owens-leads-hoffman-surging-scozzafava-fades\/","title":{"rendered":"DailyKos\/Research 2000: Owens leads, Hoffman surging, Scozzafava fades"},"content":{"rendered":"

It’s official — or at least as official as opinion polling can make it<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Lake Placid Conservative Doug Hoffman has pushed ahead of Republican Dede Scozzafava — and very nearly tied Democrat Bill Owens.<\/p>\n

Here are the numbers: Owens 33%, Hoffman 32%, Scozzafava 21%. <\/p>\n

The good news for Owens is that he continues to gain ground among rank-and-file Democrats, picking up 64% of that tally.<\/p>\n

It’s also worth noting that a chunk of Scozzafava’s anemic showing comes from Democrats — not Republicans — who seem to be shifting away from her.<\/p>\n

That said, for the first time Doug Hoffman leads among Republicans, capturing 41% of that vote compared with her 34% showing. <\/p>\n

He also expanded his dominance of the independent vote, picking up 47% of that group, compared with Owens’ 28%.<\/p>\n

Here’s the DailyKos’s take on their own poll:<\/p>\n

If Scozzafava’s fade continues, Hoffman will win this thing. Democratic chances hinge on halting the Hoffman surge, which is why the DCCC has trained its guns on the conservative party candidate.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

My questions:<\/p>\n

1. Is there a floor to Dede Scozzafava’s support? She’s very popular in her chunk of the North Country. Will that group of Republicans abandon her, too, and shift to Hoffman? <\/p>\n

2. Will nervous Democrats shift from Scozzafava to Owens, shoring him up a bit?<\/p>\n

3. Will Democratic attacks on Hoffman — launched very late in the game — have any impact on his surge? Or did the Dems overlook him too long?<\/p>\n

4. And what about those 14% who are still undecided? <\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It’s official — or at least as official as opinion polling can make it. Lake […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[874],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1207"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1207"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1207\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}