I’ve taken a lot of heat the last 48 hours for suggesting that Matt Doheny’s lead over Doug Hoffman in the NY-23 Republican primary is “commanding.”<\/p>\n
Doheny leads currently by roughly 600 votes, with just under 1,600 absentee votes remaining to be counted.\u00a0 It’s also possible — though unlikely — that a recanvas of the polls will turn up significant changes.<\/p>\n
News organizations have described this situation in various ways.<\/p>\n
The Associated Press has already declared Doheny the unofficial winner.<\/p>\n
The Watertown Daily Times describes the lead as “slim” in its news pages, but has declared Doheny the winner on its editorial page.<\/p>\n
The Adirondack Daily Enterprise calls the race “close,” while the Plattsburgh Press-Republican calls Doheny the “apparent winner.”<\/p>\n
The bottom line here is that barring dramatic developments, it will be very difficult for Doug Hoffman to close the gap.<\/p>\n
He would have to win the absentee ballot count by a wider margin than he won Franklin County — and Franklin County was by far Hoffman’s most fertile territory.<\/p>\n
So, as things stand now, I’ll stick with my assessment: Doheny’s lead is commanding.<\/p>\n
But as Hoffman’s camp rightfully points out, it’s important to count every vote and get final results before anyone is declared the victor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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