{"id":6360,"date":"2012-08-02T06:51:13","date_gmt":"2012-08-02T10:51:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/?p=6360"},"modified":"2012-08-02T07:37:46","modified_gmt":"2012-08-02T11:37:46","slug":"100-day-sprint-democratic-poll-shows-owens-with-12-point-lead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2012\/08\/02\/100-day-sprint-democratic-poll-shows-owens-with-12-point-lead\/","title":{"rendered":"100 Day Sprint: Democratic poll shows Owens with 12 point lead"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has released findings from a new survey showing North Country Representative Bill Owens with a wide lead over Republican challenger Matt Doheny.<\/p>\n

Owens, a Democrat from Plattsburgh, gathered 50% of support, according to the poll.\u00a0 That’s an important benchmark for an incumbent seeking re-election.<\/p>\n

Doheny, the Republican from Watertown, was at 38%, according to the survey of 400 likely voters, which was conducted in the final three days of July.<\/p>\n

“Roughly three months before Election Day, Congressman Bill Owens is well positioned to win re-election in New York’s newly-configured 21st Congressional District,” according to a statement by Anzalone Liszt Research, which conducted the poll.<\/p>\n

They note that Owens currently leads by a margin that is wider than the percentage of undecided voters, which stands currently at 8%.\u00a0 (The margin of error for this poll is plus or minus 4.9%.)<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Green Party candidate Donald Hassig also drew some support, winning 4% of voter interest.\u00a0 If the race narrows in the weeks ahead, that number could be significant.<\/p>\n

Reacting to the survey, Doheny spokesman Jude Seymour sent this statement this morning to NCPR:<\/p>\n

\n
\u201cThe fact that Bill Owens can\u2019t break 50 percent as an incumbent in a poll commissioned by his own party is indicative of how much trouble he\u2019s in this fall. When people find out that Owens is part of\u00a0job-killing agenda of this administration, that number is going to be much lower than 50 percent.\u201d<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Seymour says he doesn’t know of any GOP-sponsored polling that will be released “publicly” any time soon.<\/p>\n

A 12% gap is certainly a much bigger hill to climb than I would have anticipated at this stage in the race, in a district with such a heavy Republican tilt in voter registration, and given Doheny’s ambitious, active and well-funded campaign.<\/p>\n

I wonder if Doheny isn’t getting caught in some of the New York headwinds that face all GOP contenders:\u00a0 the relatively high popularity of Barack Obama, and the soaring popularity of Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo.<\/p>\n

As always, your comments and thoughts welcome.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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