{"id":6825,"date":"2012-11-07T00:42:50","date_gmt":"2012-11-07T05:42:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/?p=6825"},"modified":"2012-11-07T03:31:16","modified_gmt":"2012-11-07T08:31:16","slug":"election-day-after-discussion-thread","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2012\/11\/07\/election-day-after-discussion-thread\/","title":{"rendered":"Election Day After Discussion Thread"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Mostly this is a chance for In Boxers to chew over what just happened, but I’ll kick things off by scoring the wins and losses of our various prognostications, analyses and theories, ranked by wins and losses.<\/p>\n

WIN:\u00a0 The In Box predicted a 332-206 Obama win.\u00a0 When the dust finally settles, I think I’ll be pretty close.\u00a0 If Obama holds Florida, he’ll have won exactly that tally.<\/p>\n

As I thought he might, Romney came damned close in many, many places without tipping enough of them into the win column.\u00a0 A very tough, raw way to lose.<\/p>\n

WIN:\u00a0 The In Box has also talked a lot this year about the possibility of the popular vote and the electoral vote being out of synch.\u00a0 That, too, looks like a significant possibility as of 12:33 Wednesday morning.\u00a0 Take that, Nate Silver!<\/p>\n

UPDATE:\u00a0 Looks like the popular vote is also now trending Obama.<\/p>\n

LOSS:\u00a0 I predicted a close race for Assemblywoman Janet Duprey in the 115th Assembly race, describing a twilight of the moderates just yesterday.\u00a0 Boy, did I read that wrong.\u00a0 Duprey clobbered tea party conservative Karen Bisso…handily.<\/p>\n

UPDATE:\u00a0 Yes, to be more clear, my prediction of a conservative trend this year was clearly, unambiguously wrong.<\/p>\n

LOSS:\u00a0 I never came right out and made a prediction, but in the final two weeks I thought Democrat Bill Owens was deeply vulnerable.\u00a0 I described his campaign as quiet and lackluster.\u00a0 Maybe so – but effective, obviously.<\/p>\n

STRAY THOUGHTS:\u00a0 The North Country is now officially purple.\u00a0 Yes, there are a lot more registered Republicans here than Democrats, but they’re a rascally, unpredictable bunch of voters.<\/p>\n

Three times now, Bill Owens has leveraged a fairly moderate political stance, and a modest persona, convincing those voters to choose him over Republicans and Conservatives.<\/p>\n

Now it’s your turn.\u00a0 What do you think about Obama, Owens, Duprey, Stec, etc.?<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mostly this is a chance for In Boxers to chew over what just happened, but […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[6550],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6825"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6825"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6825\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6828,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6825\/revisions\/6828"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}