Has the bubble burst? <\/p>\n
In a mercurial ride that mirrored Wall Street, John McCain jumped to within five points of Barack Obama in New York state this week, a poll that drew headlines around the country.<\/p>\n
But the latest Rasmussen survey puts the Republican down by 13%. Was it something he said?<\/p>\n
In fact, the spike reflects the mercurial nature of polling itself. Results can skew wildly, depending on the methodology, the timing, and a thousand other details.<\/p>\n
Looking at a much broader aggregate of polling data, it’s clear that McCain did enjoy a slight post-convention warming-trend across the Northeast. <\/p>\n
But the GOP’s fortunes in this part of the U.S. remain pretty gloomy.<\/p>\n
Over the course of the campaign, Democrat Barack Obama has led McCain consistently in the East by an average of 11% points. Today the margin stands at 51% Obama to 40% McCain.<\/p>\n
In American politics, that’s a landslide.<\/p>\n
It will take a lot more than Sarah Palin to reverse the Republican malaise in this part of the country.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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