{"id":778,"date":"2009-05-27T08:06:00","date_gmt":"2009-05-27T12:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/05\/27\/steep-climb-for-gop-in-state-senate\/"},"modified":"2009-05-27T08:06:00","modified_gmt":"2009-05-27T12:06:00","slug":"steep-climb-for-gop-in-state-senate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/2009\/05\/27\/steep-climb-for-gop-in-state-senate\/","title":{"rendered":"Steep climb for GOP in state Senate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A couple of recent polls are highlighting the challenges for Republicans hoping to retake their traditional majority in the state Senate.<\/p>\n<p>The GOP has been handed plenty of openings:  a clumsy freshman year for Democratic majority leader Malcolm Smith; rebellions within the Democratic caucus; the drag of an unpopular Dem governor; soaring property taxes&#8230;some fairly spectacular scandals and criminal probes.<\/p>\n<p>The Democrats have also waded into wedge-issue territory by pushing a bill that would legalize same-sex marriage.  That might have been expected to dislodge some social-conservative Dems.<\/p>\n<p>But polls show that only around 35% of New Yorkers want Republicans to regain control of the state Senate.<\/p>\n<p>Even independent voters break for the Dems on a 55-33% split, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.siena.edu\/uploadedFiles\/Home\/Parents_and_Community\/Community_Page\/SRI\/SNY_Poll\/SNY0509%20May%20SNY%20Poll%20Release_%20final.pdf\">Siena<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A Quinippiac poll released a couple of weeks ago found much the same, with 55% of New Yorkers preferring that Dems hold power in the Senate.<\/p>\n<p>The numbers indicate that Democratic leaders have won astonishing loyalty (topping 90%) from core voters; and they&#8217;ve also managed to hold more than 50% of Independents.<\/p>\n<p>(According to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.quinnipiac.edu\/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1296\">Quinippiac<\/a>, twice as many Republicans prefer that the Dems hold power, when compared with Dems wanting a GOP takeover.)<\/p>\n<p>If Republicans aren&#8217;t careful, they may hit a point-of-no-return after 2010.<\/p>\n<p>By most accounts, the state Senate&#8217;s district boundaries were gerrymandered aggressively to protect a lot of GOP seats.<\/p>\n<p>After the next Census, if Democrats still control Albany and hold a decisive voter-enrollment advantage, they could very well go in for a little gerrymandering of their own. <\/p>\n<p>If that happens, a Republican implosion is possible.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s unlikely that Senators Joe Griffo and Betty Little would be dislodged, but they could well find themselves part of a crippled caucus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A couple of recent polls are highlighting the challenges for Republicans hoping to retake their [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/778"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=778"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/778\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=778"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=778"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.northcountrypublicradio.org\/inbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=778"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}