Poll shows Republican grip on state Senate slipping

New York’s Republican Party holds a precarious one-seat majority in the state Senate.

A new poll out today from the Siena Research Institute shows that Democrats are poised to take control after November.

Siena polled six key Senate districts that will likely decide the matter.

Two new Democratic incumbents — elected in special elections — had been seen as the most likely Republican pick-ups. (They include North Country Senator Darrel Aubertine.)

But Siena finds that both Dems are leading by comfortable margins over their Republican challengers, despite heavy GOP spending.

Meanwhile, one Republican incumbent — Sen. Serph Maltese from Queens — is locked in a 42-42% tie with Democratic challenger Joseph Addabbo.

Worse yet for Republicans, the fight for an open district seat in Erie County seems to be tipping ever so slightly toward Democrat Joseph Mesi, who holds a 2% lead over Republican Michael Ranzenhofer.

So with just weeks to go before the elections, the scorecard looks like this:

Republicans are vulnerable in two state Senate districts — and seem to have zero opportunity to make up ground already lost to the Democrats.

The GOP has zero margin for error here. One lost Senate Seat and New York’s entire political system will be controlled by the Democratic Party.