NCPR’s poll coverage

NCPR has probed and dissected as many polls as we could find these past weeks. Now we’re going to stop reporting on them until after tomorrow’s election.

Why? First, because the experts we talk to agree that the situation out there is just too crazy for accurate surveys.

This is reflected by the fact that new polls coming out today are all over the map.

Part of this reflects the continued fall-out from Republican Dede Scozzafava’s withdrawal and her unexpected endorsement of Democrat Bill Owens.

Partly, it reflects the dramatic, non-traditional campaign of Doug Hoffman.

And partly it reflects the fact that no one’s really sure who will turn up tomorrow. “Likely Voter Models” are notoriously sketchy…especially in special elections.

Suffice it to say that if you ever dreamed of voting in a dramatic, fascinating, nationally resonant contest, where your ballot could make a big difference, this is that opportunity.

A couple of thousands of votes could very easily make the difference either way. It’s a cliche — but also a fact — to say that election day is the only poll that matters.