Polling mayhem tilting to Obama
by Brian Mann on October 23rd, 2008
Okay, I’m a wonk – a numbers junky, a political fine-print fan – and even I have whiplash.
Yesterday’s polls seemed to show significant tightening, with John McCain pulling within sight of Obama in some key battleground states.
Today? Landslide numbers for Obama. Here’s the list currently from RealClearPolitics.com.
| National | Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby | Obama 52, McCain 40 | Obama +12 |
| Indiana | Big10 Battleground | McCain 41, Obama 51 | Obama +10 |
| Illinois | Big10 Battleground | Obama 61, McCain 32 | Obama +29 |
| Pennsylvania | Morning Call | Obama 52, McCain 42 | Obama +10 |
| Ohio | Quinnipiac | Obama 52, McCain 38 | Obama +14 |
| Florida | Quinnipiac | Obama 49, McCain 44 | Obama +5 |
| Pennsylvania | Quinnipiac | Obama 53, McCain 40 | Obama +13 |
Obama ahead 10% in Indiana? Up 12% nationally?
If that’s true, then this election is one for the history books.
These numbers also dispute the notion that McCain is catching up in the key Pennsylvania fight.
Bottom line? Polls are twitchy, crude indicators. They fold in a ton of variables and assumptions.
But overall, it’s clear that John McCain still has some mountains to move.
