Politico has talked to the folks crunching the Census numbers and here’s what they conclude:
A new estimate of House reapportionment gains and losses resulting from this year’s Census reveals a larger-than-expected impact on Florida and New York. According to Washington-based Election Data Services, which reviewed new Census data from a private-sector demographic firm, Florida would gain two House seats and New York would lose two seats.
How would this affect NY-20, NY-23 and NY-24? Probably a lot. New York City has actually been gaining population, albeit slowly. Upstate and the North Country have been flat, or declining.